COVID-19: Death Data in England – Daily Update

July 12, 2020

Jason Oke, Susannah Fleming, Carl Heneghan


NHS England releases data at 2 pm each day and reports daily count up to the previous day as well as a total figure. We wrote about the problems with reconciling the different data here:

See: https://phcstats.shinyapps.io/NHS_COVIDdeaths/

Reports of no deaths

There were 65 (50%) Hospital Trusts* with no deaths reported in the last 7 days,  98 (75%) reported no deaths in the last 48 hours and  in 75 (57%) no deaths occurred in the last 7 days.

The reporting of deaths by  NHS England underestimate those reported by the Office for National Statistics  – One reason for this is NHS England’s data does not include deaths reported outside hospitals.

AUTHORS

Jason Oke is a Senior Statistician at the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences and Module Coordinator for Statistical Computing with R and Stata (EBHC Med Stats), and Introduction to Statistics for Health Care Research (EBHC), as part of the Evidence-Based Health Care Programme.

Susannah Fleming is Senior quantitative researcher at the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences. teaches on the MSc in EBHC Medical Statistics, and co-ordinates the module in Essential Medical Statistics.

Carl Heneghan is Professor of Evidence-Based Medicine and Director of Studies for the Evidence-Based Health Care Programmes (Full bio and disclosure statement here)

Disclaimer the article has not been peer-reviewed; it should not replace individual clinical judgement, and the sources cited should be checked. The views expressed in this commentary represent the views of the authors and not necessarily those of the host institution, the NHS, the NIHR, or the Department of Health and Social Care. The views are not a substitute