COVID-19 Death Data in England – Update 16th April
April 16, 2020
Jason Oke, Carl Heneghan
NHS England releases data at 2 pm each day and reports daily counts up to the previous day as well as a total figure. We wrote about the problems with reconciling the different data here:
Today’s reported figure is 740 deaths in hospitals in England
These deaths are distributed across the following days:
and are distributed by region as follows:
The figure shows the reporting of deaths by NHS England underestimate those reported by ONS (by approx 750 deaths) – One of the reasons for this is NHS England’s data does not include deaths reported outside hospitals.
Daily reports generally add more to the previous two days (up to a maximum 300 deaths), and can add back to the previous week’s counts (the grey shaded area in figure 2). Consistent with previous analyses, the data continues to flatline consistent with hitting a peak* (the peak day of deaths is currently the 8th of April). The structure of the data is similar across the regions.
*Inaccuracies in the data can give rise to considerable uncertainties. Over the Easter weekend inaccuracies could have been amplified due to late reporting.
April 15th – COVID-19 Death Data in England
April 14th – COVID-19 Death Data in England
13th April – COVID-19 Death Data in England
12th April – COVID-19 Death Data in England
11th April – COVID-19 Death Data in England
10th April – COVID-19 Death Data in England
9th April – COVID-19 Death Data in England
8th April – Reconciling COVID-19 death rate in the UK
Tracking mortality over time
Assessment of Mortality in the Covid-19 outbreak
Jason Oke is a Senior Statistician at the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences and Module Coordinator for Statistical Computing with R and Stata (EBHC Med Stats), and Introduction to Statistics for Health Care Research (EBHC), as part of the Evidence-Based Health Care Programme.
Carl Heneghan is Professor of Evidence-Based Medicine, Director of the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine and Director of Studies for the Evidence-Based Health Care Programme. (Full bio and disclosure statement here)
Disclaimer: the article has not been peer-reviewed; it should not replace individual clinical judgement, and the sources cited should be checked. The views expressed in this commentary represent the views of the authors and not necessarily those of the host institution, the NHS, the NIHR, or the Department of Health and Social Care. The views are not a substitute for professional medical advice.