COVID-19: Death Data in England – Update 30th April

Jason Oke, Carl Heneghan

NHS England releases data at 2 pm each day and reports daily count up to the previous day as well as a total figure. We wrote about the problems with reconciling the different data here:

Today’s reported figure is 391 deaths in hospitals in England. These deaths are distributed back to the 12th of March.

On the:

  • 23rd of April there were 514  deaths reported in hospitals in England.
  • 16th of April there were  740  deaths reported in hospitals in England.

Consistent with previous analyses, the peak day of deaths was the 8th of April. The deaths are  distributed across the following days:

and are distributed by region as follows.

and by age, as follows:

The reporting of deaths by  NHS England underestimate those reported by ONS  – One reason for this is NHS England’s data does not include deaths reported outside hospitals.

Daily reports generally add more to the previous two days  (up to a maximum 300 deaths), and can add back to the previous week’s counts (the grey shaded area in figure  2).

See  also:

COVID-19 Death Data in England – Update 17th April


Tracking mortality over time

Assessment of Mortality in the Covid-19 outbreak


Jason Oke is a senior statistician at the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences. (Bio  here)

Carl Heneghan is Professor of Evidence-Based Medicine, Director of the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine. (Full bio and disclosure statement  here)

Disclaimer the article has not been peer-reviewed; it should not replace individual clinical judgement, and the sources cited should be checked. The views expressed in this commentary represent the views of the authors and not necessarily those of the host institution, the NHS, the NIHR, or the Department of Health and Social Care. The views are not a substitute for professional medical advice.

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